Top: England, Ireland
These two have been far and away the best sides in this year’s tournament, and their epic clash at Twickenham proved it. England outclassed Wales on Sunday, and, but for conceding two flukey tries and a last-minute one against France, would be going for the Grand Slam this weekend. Stuart Lancaster’s side is looking ominously good ahead of the 2015 World Cup on home soil. Would you bet on any side to beat them at Twickenham?
Twickenham: becoming a fortress for England again
Ireland got even closer than England to beating reigning world champions New Zealand in the autumn, and Joe Schmidt has put together a side which will surely win the title next weekend by beating a shambolic France. It will be fitting for Brian O’Driscoll to retire (probably) with Ireland’s second championship of his career – and at the Stade de France, where he burst on to the international scene with a hat trick of tries in 2000.
Bottom: France, Italy, Scotland, Wales
For Wales, Twickenham was a miserable place to be on Sunday, but it needn’t be all doom and gloom. England are a very good side now (although, admittedly, that does make most Welsh fans gloomy), but Wales were mainly let down by poor execution – dropped passes, misplaced kicks, a lack of concentration etc. Yes, England should have won by more: but if we had been switched on enough to restrict England to three points instead of seven via a Danny Care try, and if either one of George North or Jamie Roberts’ kicks had gone out wide, a deficit of 11 points could have been wiped out. And don’t forget three more of England’s points came from a penalty awarded at a scrum which had resulted from Rhys Priestland dropping a dolly. Cut out the mistakes, freshen up, and this Welsh side is not necessarily a lost cause. That said, Wales haven’t dominated a match since England 2013 (Lions victories don’t count). How badly we need a good performance against Scotland.
But Scotland are not just going to roll over. After a miserable start to the tournament, the last-minute win over Italy seems to have a built a bit of momentum. It was heartbreak at the weekend, though, with a dire France again snatching a win from defeat’s jaws thanks to a cringe-inducing long pass from Duncan Weir and a couple of late long-range missed penalties. They have nothing to lose at the Millennium Stadium on Saturday, and will surely be confident of taking advantage of a smarting Welsh team.
France: woeful, a squad in revolt and turmoil. Theoretically still in with a shout of the title, it would be an absolutely travesty if they were to win it. Fortunately for the reputation of the tournament, that won’t happen – no way are they good enough to beat Ireland, let alone by enough to overtake an England team that should comfortably dispatch Italy.
Italy: back to the bad old days of the wooden spoon. They haven’t gone dramatically backwards this year, and are still miles better than a decade ago. In the first half against Ireland they played with a real purpose, with Leonardo Sarto scoring a wonderful try before Ireland got into top gear. Michele Campagnaro’s double gave Wales a fright, and on another day they could easily have beaten Scotland.
An Early Bath 